Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 11.829190 13.503445 15.336037 17.491819 19.959838 22.698812 25.971570
2026-02-01 9.333913 11.475946 14.002780 17.207259 21.169062 25.914808 32.043964
2026-02-08 7.846345 10.167773 13.055542 16.919138 21.965545 28.350609 37.071564
2026-02-15 6.779725 9.172945 12.282739 16.631036 22.574148 30.442388 41.700426
2026-02-22 6.304387 8.858943 12.308002 17.321712 24.454181 34.283051 48.938026
2026-03-01 5.787471 8.411431 12.077235 17.594186 25.728831 37.348700 55.327733
2026-03-08 5.258079 7.879238 11.656345 17.523046 26.460287 39.651833 60.765584
2026-03-15 4.789556 7.382388 11.227047 17.375496 27.029287 41.718122 65.979914
2026-03-22 4.563972 7.225676 11.281222 17.949723 28.726202 45.606153 74.339382
2026-03-29 4.340821 7.047651 11.278786 18.420632 30.280200 49.373107 82.812912
2026-04-05 4.175253 6.943414 11.377178 19.050532 32.128242 53.742085 92.645785
2026-04-12 3.818809 6.492681 10.872825 18.630558 32.173840 55.107850 97.447608
2026-04-19 3.514008 6.107348 10.451713 18.325299 32.404571 56.832117 103.087502
2026-04-26 3.242175 5.755644 10.058060 18.030940 32.622269 58.540101 108.838870
2026-05-03 2.997097 5.429736 9.680820 17.728503 32.788602 60.150519 114.524313
2026-05-10 2.776261 5.128788 9.322454 17.426252 32.920565 61.691900 120.189711
2026-05-17 2.723258 5.131057 9.510414 18.150871 35.034650 67.087055 133.788013
2026-05-24 2.612853 5.016024 9.471195 18.436745 36.322282 70.999222 144.779288
2026-05-31 2.464638 4.816546 9.256693 18.362105 36.889294 73.540669 153.193409
2026-06-07 2.318774 4.610152 9.012718 18.207299 37.277510 75.746412 161.088095
2026-06-14 2.271115 4.594883 9.139987 18.809776 39.259682 81.338822 176.668203
2026-06-21 2.213321 4.554299 9.212866 19.303870 41.051717 86.673541 192.160429
2026-06-28 2.175338 4.551300 9.360681 19.964809 43.248999 93.034200 210.496715